One of the Clinton campaign's recurring arguments is that she's stronger with white working-class voters—or as she put it unfortunately but perhaps accurately, you know, "hard-working Americans, white Americans." Oregon has proved that wrong. From TPM:
The Oregon exit polls lend a bit more weight to the theory that Barack Obama's real problem is more with Appalachia than it is with working class whites in general, as the Hillary campaign has repeatedly suggested.
In Kentucky yesterday, Hillary slaughtered Obama among these voters. But the Oregon exits show a different story.
Obama beat Hillary by sizable margins among all ages of white voters except those 60 and older. And he beat Hillary among voters with no college degree, too -- and since the state is overwhelmingly white, these voters are the ones he's supposed to have trouble with.
Late Update: The exits also show that Obama also beat Hillary by seven points among voters making less than $50,000 (though she won among voters making between $15,000 and $30,000).
What's more, Obama also won among voters from a household with a union member.
Is it because those voters in Appalachia are more racist? Of course it is. I mean... who knows? It could be anything! (Although, e.g., in Kentucky, when voters were asked "Was Race of Candidate Important to You?" 21% said Yes and 81% of those voted for Hillary Clinton.)
Please just let me know when it's all over. If Hillary somehow gets it, I'll still vote for her—or any Democrat who will save us from a third Bush term. But wow, nationally it's shaping up pretty interestingly:
Zogby's latest numbers: Obama 47%, McCain 37%, Nader 4%, Barr 3%.
Without Barr and Nader it's Obama 48%, McCain 40%.
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